BEAR, Berkeley Economic Advising and Research

PracticeWage and labor standards

Minimum wage studies that show who is covered, and where they live.

BEAR’s study for the City of Los Angeles informed the 2024 decision to raise hotel and airport worker pay to $30 an hour by 2028. Culver City commissioned BEAR for its citywide minimum wage study, and SCAG uses BEAR’s Job Quality Index. Each study counts the workers a policy reaches, places them where they live, and models what it does to employers, prices and jobs.

Heat map of hotel locations in western and central Los Angeles, densest downtown and near LAX
Hotel density in Los Angeles, from BEAR’s interactive tool for the City’s 2024 study. Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors.

The record

Write-ups with the client, the year, the headline result and the public document.

ClientEngagementYearHeadline result
City of Los AngelesCity of Los Angeles: hotel and airport worker wages202423,000 Workers directly and indirectly affected
SCAGSCAG: a Job Quality Index for Southern California20242,900 Workers surveyed: 500 in each of five counties and 400 in Imperial

Also: the City of Culver City’s citywide minimum wage study, approved by Council on October 9, 2023 (Culver City Crossroads).

From the employer frame to the council district

  1. Who is covered

    Build the frame of covered employers and workers from payroll, establishment and occupational data, and test it against what the city already knows.

  2. Where they live

    Place covered workers in their home neighborhoods from commuting data and report by council district, so councilmembers see their own constituents in the result.

  3. What changes

    Trace the wage path through payroll, prices, employment, household income and local spending, year by year, with and without the ordinance.

  4. What the record will need

    A report written for council, hearing support, and answers to the questions councilmembers, business and labor put on the record.

Before you issue the RFP

Can you report results by council district?

Yes. The Los Angeles study placed hotel and airport workers in their home neighborhoods using census-tract commuting data and reported the result by council district.

Do you model job losses and price effects, or only wage gains?

Both. Higher payroll shows up as household income and local spending, and also as employer costs, prices and hiring. The Los Angeles study reported price effects of about six percent over four years alongside the income and job gains.

Will you answer Council’s follow-up questions?

Yes. For Los Angeles, BEAR answered Council’s written follow-up questions in December 2024, before the vote.

Considering a wage ordinance or an annual review?

BEAR is a California certified Small Business (Micro), no. 2026547.